Research Chief Claims US Likely To Launch SBR By Year-End

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A new bill introduced on Tuesday would direct the US Treasury to study whether a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) is technically and legally feasible, adding fresh momentum to a policy discussion that has picked up steam this year.

US President Donald Trump signed an executive order in March that set up a framework for a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a US Digital Asset Stockpile, but a detailed plan has yet to be released.

According to Alex Thorn, head of firmwide research at Galaxy Digital, there is a high likelihood the US will formally announce an SBR by the end of this year — a view that some market participants say is too optimistic.

i still think there’s a strong chance the U.S. government will announce this year that it has formed the strategic bitcoin reserve (SBR) and is formally holding BTC as a strategic asset

market seems to be completely underpricing the likelihood of such an announcement

— Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins) September 11, 2025

Reports Have Disclosed Progress On Multiple Fronts

Based on reports, the administration’s crypto liaison confirmed interest remains in moving forward, even if the topic received only a brief mention in a recent policy paper.

yes, i mean the U.S. government announcing, not bessent’s offhand comment on tv

that comment gave us hints of where they think the size of the reserve stands but is not a formal announcement of the SBR https://t.co/ADxguLJ8vH

— Alex Thorn (@intangiblecoins) September 11, 2025

On Aug. 6, Bitcoin Indonesia said it had met with officials to talk about how a state-level strategy could boost the economy. And on Wednesday, Kyrgyzstan advanced a bill aimed at creating a country-level crypto reserve — a signal that other governments are not standing still.

Skeptics Say The Timeline Could Slip To 2026

Samson Mow, founder of Jan3, has urged faster action, warning in June that delays risk letting other nations secure large Bitcoin holdings first.

Dave Weisburger, former chairman of CoinRoutes, said that it is more likely any formal US holding will take place in 2026.

BTCUSD trading at $116,058 on the 24-hour chart: TradingView

He argued that an administration wanting to build a position would probably avoid public disclosure until an initial accumulation target is reached.

Markets May Be Underpricing The Odds

Thorn wrote on X that the market appears to be underpricing the chance of a US announcement. That matters because a clear signal from the government that it holds Bitcoin as a strategic asset could change demand dynamics sharply.

Some traders would see such a move as a bullish shock; others would worry about new rules, taxes, or custody frameworks that could follow.

The secrecy around any acquisition plan also complicates market reads: if accumulation is underway but hidden, prices could react strongly when the government goes public.

Global Moves Add Pressure On US Decision Makers

Beyond timing and market effects, the story has a geopolitical edge. Countries in Central and Southeast Asia are actively discussing national crypto reserves, and officials in Jakarta have shown interest in using Bitcoin-related strategy as an economic tool.

That international activity increases the political stakes for Washington. For now, the picture is mixed: executive orders and bills point to progress, while public comments from officials and analysts show real disagreement over when — or if — the US will formalize holdings.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $$116,058, up 0.9% and 4.8% in the daily and weekly frames.

Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView

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